This post is for all of those statisticians out there!!! One of the main reasons teams participate in Manchester Invitational is to truly see where they rate versus their division and the entire state. Same course, same day, maybe same race situations can reveal valuable information for teams to build on for the second half of their seasons. But, is Manchester Invitational (MI) an accurate predictor? With the freshmen races, some teams opt to have their freshmen, no matter how good, participate, thus weakening their varsity team, which in turn distorts a team’s true status in the state. Is this the right decision? Does Manchester Invitational have any affect on the outcome of the State Divisional Championships, and even with a different course, Meet of Champions.
So with all that said, merges provide us with an opportunity to study. We have provided links to the 2016 merges provided by Millennium Running. We have also provided comparisons of how the merge fared in 2015 and links to our previous posts. Warning: Long Post!!!
2016 MANCHESTER INVITATIONAL STATE AND DIVISIONAL MERGES
HOW THE MERGE FARED IN 2015 WITH MOCS
2015 MI GIRLS MERGE 2015 MOC FINISH
| Rank | School | Score | Rank | School | Score |
| 1 | Coe-Brown | 56 | 1 | Coe-Brown | 44 |
| 2 | Souhegan | 135 | 2 | Pinkerton | 51 |
| 3 | Pinkerton | 136 | 3 | Souhegan | 130 |
| 4 | Hanover | 172 | 4 | Bishop Guertin | 135 |
| 5 | Merrimack | 190 | 5 | Alvirne | 173 |
| 6 | Oyster River | 207 | 6 | Hanover | 175 |
| 7 | Winnacunnet | 238 | 7 | Merrimack | 189 |
| 8 | Alvirne | 246 | 8 | Concord | 205 |
| 9 | Concord | 263 | 9 | Bedford | 206 |
| 10 | Londonderry | 348 | 10 | Oyster River | 220 |
| 11 | Bedford | 349 | 11 | Londonderry | 273 |
| 12 | South | 386 | 12 | Winnacunnet | 303 |
| 13 | Windham | 370 | |||
| 14 | Monadnock | 418 | |||
| 15 | Kennett | 425 | |||
| 16 | Bow | 437 | |||
| 17 | Campbell | 461 | |||
2015 MI BOYS MERGE 2015 MOC FINISH
| Rank | School | Score | Rank | School | Score |
| 1 | Pinkerton | 53 | 1 | Pinkerton | 48 |
| 2 | Londonderry | 90 | 2 | Londonderry | 105 |
| 3 | Coe-Brown | 128 | 3 | North | 162 |
| 4 | Oyster River | 158 | 4 | Oyster River | 171 |
| 5 | South | 226 | 5 | Coe-Brown | 179 |
| 6 | Alvirne | 229 | 6 | Alvirne | 183 |
| 7 | Concord | 244 | 7 | Concord | 223 |
| 8 | North | 257 | 8 | South | 239 |
| 9 | Timberlane | 307 | 9 | Keene | 240 |
| 10 | Hopkinton | 382 | 10 | Timberlane | 244 |
| 11 | Bishop Guertin | 392 | 11 | Kennett | 270 |
| 12 | Memorial | 400 | 12 | Monadnock | 348 |
| 13 | Dover | 455 | 13 | Mascenic | 349 |
| 14 | Exeter | 457 | 14 | Kingswood | 359 |
| 15 | Merrimack | 490 | 15 | Inter-Lakes | 377 |
2015 MI D1 GIRLS MERGE 2015 D1 GIRLS FINISH
| 1 | Pinkerton | 69 | 1 | Pinkerton | 30 |
| 2 | Merrimack | 93 | 2 | Bishop Guertin | 116 |
| 3 | Winnacunnet | 122 | 3 | Alvirne | 140 |
| 4 | Alvirne | 124 | 4 | Concord | 158 |
| 5 | Concord | 139 | 5 | Merrimack | 159 |
| 6 | Dover | 171 | 6 | Winnacunnet | 169 |
| 7 | Bedford | 182 | 7 | Bedford | 194 |
| 7 | Londonderry | 182 | 8 | Londonderry | 197 |
| 9 | South | 201 | 9 | Dover | 217 |
| 10 | Exeter | 223 | 10 | South | 259 |
| 11 | North | 233 | 11 | North | 268 |
| 12 | Central | 255 | 12 | Keene | 290 |
| 13 | Memorial | 354 | 13 | Exeter | 310 |
| 14 | Spaulding | 372 | 14 | Central | 382 |
| 15 | Timberlane | 399 |
2015 D2 GIRLS MERGE 2015 D2 GIRLS FINISH
| 1 | Coe-Brown | 29 | 1 | Coe-Brown | 22 |
| 2 | Souhegan | 67 | 2 | Hanover | 92 |
| 3 | Hanover | 85 | 3 | Souhegan | 98 |
| 4 | Oyster River | 92 | 4 | Oyster River | 115 |
| 5 | Windham | 146 | 5 | Kennett | 223 |
| 6 | Hollis-Brookline | 187 | 6 | Windham | 237 |
| 7 | MV | 214 | 7 | Portsmouth | 252 |
| 8 | Trinity | 223 | 8 | Con-Val | 270 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 237 | 9 | MV | 275 |
| 10 | Milford | 258 | 10 | Milford | 279 |
| 11 | Goffstown | 302 | 11 | Hollis/Brookline | 282 |
| 12 | Pelham | 308 | 12 | John Stark | 291 |
| 13 | Lebanon | 318 | 13 | Trinity | 331 |
| 14 | Pembroke | 408 | 14 | Kingswood | 366 |
| 15 | Sanborn | 405 | |||
2015 MI D2 BOYS MERGE 2015 D2 BOYS FINISH
| 1 | Coe-Brown | 36 | 1 | Coe-Brown | 65 |
| 2 | Oyster River | 49 | 2 | Oyster River | 85 |
| 3 | Hanover | 154 | 3 | Kennett | 152 |
| 4 | Goffstown | 177 | 4 | Plymouth | 184 |
| 5 | Windham | 183 | 5 | Kingswood | 192 |
| 6 | Hanover | 201 | 6 | Hanover | 195 |
| 7 | Pelham | 221 | 7 | Pelham | 207 |
| 8 | Souhegan | 231 | 8 | Goffstown | 260 |
| 9 | Trinity | 249 | 9 | Hollis/Brookline | 276 |
| 10 | MV | 277 | 10 | Souhegan | 277 |
| 11 | Pembroke | 279 | 11 | Windham | 288 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 289 | 12 | Con-Val | 315 |
| 13 | Hollis/Brookline | 301 | 13 | Milford | 363 |
| 14 | Milford | 308 | 14 | Trinity | 374 |
| 15 | Lebanon | 331 | 15 | Lebanon | 391 |
| 16 | St. Thomas | 374 | 16 | Pembroke | 406 |
