2021 Manchester Merges: Accurate Predictor?

This post is for all of those statisticians out there!!!  Here is our annual Manchester Merges Post.  One of the main reasons teams participate in Manchester Invitational is to truly see where they rate versus their division and the entire state.  Same course, same day, maybe same race situations can reveal valuable information for teams to build on for the second half of their seasons.  But, is Manchester Invitational (MI) an accurate predictor?  With the freshmen races, some teams opt to have their freshmen, no matter how good, participate, thus weakening their varsity team, which in turn distorts a team’s true status in the state.  Is this the right decision?  Does Manchester Invitational have any affect on the outcome of the State Divisional Championships, and even with a different course, Meet of Champions.

So with all that said, merges provide us with an opportunity to study.  We have provided links to the 2021 merges provided by Millennium Running.  We have also provided comparisons of how the merge fared in 2019 and links to our posts from previous years.  Warning: Long Post!!!


2021 MANCHESTER INVITATIONAL STATE AND DIVISIONAL MERGES

Manch State Merge Girls

Manch State Merge Boys

Manch D1 Merge Girls

Manch D1 Merge Boys

Manch D2 Merge Girls

Manch D2 Merge Boys

Manch D3 Merge Girls

Manch D3 Merge Boys


HOW THE MERGE FARED IN 2019 WITH MOCS

2019 MI GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2019 MOC FINISH

Rank School Score Rank School Score
1 Souhegan 112 1 Souhegan 80
2 Bishop Guertin 131 2 Bishop Guertin 109
3 MV 147 3 Concord 111
4 Keene 151 4 Exeter 159
5 Hopkinton 207 5 Coe-Brown 166
6 Bedford 225 6 Keene 188
7 Coe-Brown 244 7 Merrimack Valley 199
8 Concord 244 8 Hopkinton 217
9 Exeter 273 9 Bedford 239
10 Kearsarge 313 10 South 257
11 Hanover 368 11 Oyster River 296
12 Londonderry 419 12 Ports. Christian 296
13 Pinkerton 426 13 Hanover 305
 14 Ports. Christian 445 14 Londonderry 318
 15 Oyster River 484 15 Kearsarge 336

2019 MI BOYS MERGE                                                             2019 MOC FINISH

Rank School Score Rank School Score
1 Coe-Brown 69 1 Coe-Brown 57
2 Pinkerton 110 2 Pinkerton 105
3 Londonderry 123 3 Concord 107
4 Oyster River 145 4 Keene 117
5 Concord 147 5 Oyster River 158
6 Winnacunnet 234 6 Londonderry 164
7 North 293 7 Winnacunnet 180
8 Hanover 351 8 North 239
9 Bishop Guertin 379 9 Windham 260
10 Merrimack 413 10 Hanover 285
11 Con-Val 415 11 Mascenic 292
12 Bow 426 12 Con-Val 301
13 Souhegan 430 13 Merrimack 303
14 Windham 451 14 Bow 308
15 Sanborn 471 15 Campbell 412

2019 MI D1 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2019 D1 GIRLS FINISH

1 Bishop Guertin 65 1 Concord 70
2 Keene 69 2 Bishop Guertin 82
3 Bedford 108 3 Exeter 114
4 Concord 119 4 Keene 131
5 Exeter 129 5 Bedford 158
6 Londonderry 192 6 South 169
7 Pinkerton 201 7 Londonderry 194
8 Salem 246 8 Pinkerton 208
9 Winnacunnet 248 9 Salem 237
10 Dover 252 10 North 267
11 South 256 11 Dover 272
12 North 340 12 Winnacunnet 281
13 Spaulding 345 13 Memorial 344
14 Merrimack 366 14 Merrimack 357
 15 Central 381 15 Central 375

2019 MI D1 BOYS MERGE                                                                  2019 D1 BOYS FINISH

1 Pinkerton 59 1 Concord 66
2 Londonderry 59 2 Keene 83
3 Concord 72 3 Pinkerton 91
4 Winnacunnet 121 4 Winnacunnet 107
5 North 146 5 Londonderry 119
6 Bishop Guertin 185 6 North 137
7 Merrimack 203 7 Merrimack 195
8 Dover 244 8 Exeter 271
9 Exeter 270 9 Bishop Guertin 289
10 Bedford 273 10 Dover 312
11 South 287 11 Bedford 323
12 Memorial 335 12 Memorial 328
13 Salem 337 13 Salem 343
14 Alvirne 349 14 South 345
 15 Timberlane 427 15 Alvirne

2019 D2 GIRLS MERGE                                                                        2019 D2 GIRLS FINISH

1 Souhegan 37 1 Souhegan 41
2 Merrimack Valley 47 2 Coe-Brown 47
3 Coe-Brown 76 3 Merrimack Valley 94
4 Hanover 116 4 Oyster River 124
5 Oyster River 160 5 Kennett 168
6 St. Thomas 194 6 Hanover 176
7 John Stark 202 7 Lebanon 246
8 Plymouth 228 8 Portsmouth 249
9 Portsmouth 229 9 John Stark 261
10 Kingswood 249 10 Kingswood 310
11 Milford 285 11 Windham 314
12 Con-Val 327 12 Plymouth 328
13 Windham 352 13 Milford 339
14 Bow 352 14 Con-Val 345
15 Pembroke 423 15 Bow 355

 
2019 MI D2 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2019 D2 BOYS FINISH

1 Coe-Brown 31 1 Coe-Brown 21
2 Oyster River 63 2 Oyster River 63
3 Hanover 128 3 Hanover 130
4 Con-Val 154 4 Windham 150
5 Bow 162 5 Bow 173
6 Souhegan 163 6 Con-Val 174
7 Windham 171 7 Souhegan 198
8 Sanborn 177 8 Sanborn 217
9 Portsmouth 243 9 Portsmouth 256
10 Hollis/Brookline 258 10 Kingswood 304
11 Merrimack Valley 328 11 Hollis/Brookline 313
12 Pelham 347 12 Merrimack Valley 318
13 Kingswood 383 13 Lebanon 367
14 Milford 394 14 Kennett 372
15 St. Thomas 400 15 Pelham 410

2019 MI D3 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2019 D3 GIRLS FINISH

1 Hopkinton 47 1 Kearsarge 52
2 Kearsarge 67 2 Hopkinton 81
3 Portsmouth Christian 104 3 Campbell 101
4 Lebanon 123 4 Portsmouth Christian 131
5 Campbell 133 5 Newmarket 146
6 Newmarket 163 6 Monadnock 180
7 Mascenic 201 7 Mascenic 208
8 Hinsdale 208 8 Conant 209
9 Monadnock 220 9 Fall Mountain 222

2019 MI D3 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2019 D3 BOYS FINISH

1 Mascenic 80 1 Mascenic 87
2 Hopkinton 101 2 Hopkinton 112
3 Campbell 102 3 Conant 120
4 Trinity 129 4 Campbell 133
5 Monadnock 135 5 Kearsarge 155
6 Kearsarge 148 6 Trinity 166
7 Lebanon 197 7 Monadnock 230
8 Winnisquam 239 8 Berlin 296
9 Epping 270 9 Winnisquam 300
10 Gilford 272 10 Prospect Mountain 311
11 Inter-Lakes 288 11 Bishop Brady 382
12 Conant 289 12 Moultonborough 389
13 Derryfield 299 13 Laconia 405
14 Newmarket 329 14 Newfound 412

2018 Comparisons

2017 Comparisons

2016 Comparisons

2015 Comparisons

2014 Comparisons

2013 Comparisons

Share Your Thoughts

Recent:

Discover more from NHXCTF

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading