2022 Manchester Merges: Accurate Predictor?

This post is for all of those statisticians out there!!! Here is our annual Manchester Merges Post. One of the main reasons teams participate in Manchester Invitational is to truly see where they rate versus their division and the entire state. Same course, same day, maybe same race situations can reveal valuable information for teams to build on for the second half of their seasons. But, is Manchester Invitational (MI) an accurate predictor? With the freshmen races, some teams opt to have their freshmen, no matter how good, participate, thus weakening their varsity team, which in turn distorts a team’s true status in the state. Is this the right decision? Does Manchester Invitational have any affect on the outcome of the State Divisional Championships, and even with a different course, Meet of Champions.

So with all that said, merges provide us with an opportunity to study. We have provided links to the 2021 merges provided by Millennium Running. We have also provided comparisons of how the merge fared in 2021 and links to our posts from previous years. Warning: Long Post!!!

2022 MANCHESTER INVITATIONAL STATE AND DIVISIONAL MERGES

Manch State Merge Girls

Manch State Merge Boys

Manch D1 Merge Girls

Manch D1 Merge Boys

Manch D2 Merge Girls

Manch D2 Merge Boys

Manch D3 Merge Girls

Manch D3 Merge Boys

HOW THE MERGE FARED IN 2021 WITH MOCS

2021 MI GIRLS MERGE 2021 MOC FINISH

Rank	School	Score	Rank	School	Score
1	Keene	108	1	Dover	107
2	Souhegan	147	2	Oyster River	123
3	Hopkinton	148	3	Keene	124
4	Dover	149	4	Concord	128
5	Oyster River	184	5	Bishop Guertin	143
6	Pinkerton	226	6	Hopkinton	159
7	Bishop Guertin	235	7	Souhegan	160
8	Concord	250	8	Bedford	196
9	Bedford	256	9	Exeter	208
10	Exeter	299	10	Winnacunnet	294
11	Winnacunnet	307	11	Monadnock	298
12	Kennett	320	12	Coe-Brown	310
13	Coe-Brown	409	13	Kennett	311
14	Bow	410	14	Conant	328
15	Nashua North	413	15	Bow	354

2021 MI BOYS MERGE 2021 MOC FINISH

Rank	School	Score	Rank	School	Score
1	Bishop Guertin	120	1	Bishop Guertin	75*
2	Oyster River	148	2	Coe-Brown	75^
3	Pinkerton	149	3	Concord	117
4	Concord	152	4	Pinkerton	147
5	Hanover	217	5	Hanover	201
6	Coe-Brown	246	6	Londonderry	202
7	Windham	248	7	Windham	203*
8	Londonderry	292	8	Sanborn	203*
9	Bow	317	9	Oyster River	221
10	Nashua South	326	10	Keene	242
11	Exeter	348	11	Exeter	248
12	Souhegan	372	12	Nashua South	260
13	Sanborn	420	13	Bow	283
14	Winnacunnet	468	14	Monadnock	366
15	Alvirne	471	15	Newfound Regional	383

2021 MI D1 GIRLS MERGE 2021 D1 GIRLS FINISH

1	Keene	66	1	Keene	75
2	Dover	89	2	Concord	88
3	Pinkerton	131	3	Dover	106
4	Bishop Guertin	138	4	Bedford	133
5	Concord	141	5	Winnacunnet	143
6	Bedford	148	6	Exeter	149
7	Exeter	171	7	Bishop Guertin	150
8	Winnacunnet	179	8	Pinkerton	151
9	Nashua North	221	9	Nashua North	206
10	Nashua South	245	10	Nashua South	263
11	Londonderry	276	11	Londonderry	278
12	Salem	301	12	Merrimack	360
13	Portsmouth	347	13	Alvirne	371
14	Merrimack	352	14	Salem	396
15	Alvirne	417	15	Portsmouth	402

2021 MI D1 BOYS MERGE 2021 D1 BOYS FINISH

1	Bishop Guertin	64	1	Bishop Guertin	58
2	Concord	76	2	Concord	81
3	Pinkerton	78	3	Pinkerton	104
4	Londonderry	148	4	Londonderry	139
5	Nashua South	160	5	Exeter	164
6	Exeter	172	6	Keene	173
7	Winnacunnet	230	7	Nashua South	221
8	Alvirne	232	8	Dover	243
9	Bedford	239	9	Bedford	264
10	Salem	302	10	Alvirne	268
11	Memorial	323	11	Portsmouth	288
12	Portsmouth	323	12	Winnacunnet	298
13	Nashua North	334	13	Nashua North	301
14	Dover	345	14	Timberlane	356
15	Timberlane	354	15	Memorial

2021 D2 GIRLS MERGE 2021 D2 GIRLS FINISH

1	Souhegan	44	1	Oyster River	47
2	Oyster River	55	2	Souhegan	72
3	Kennett	94	3	Coe-Brown	97
4	Coe-Brown	122	4	Kennett	127
5	Bow	126	5	Windham	182
6	Hanover	152	6	Bow	183
7	Windham	159	7	Lebanon	184
8	Plymouth	261	8	Hanover	234
9	Con-Val	267	9	Kearsarge	249
10	Merrimack Valley	267	10	Merrimack Valley	256
11	John Stark	269	11	Plymouth	277
12	Pembroke	301	12	Milford	322
13	Goffstown	338	13	Con-Val	351
			14	Pembroke	365
			15	John Stark	375

2021 MI D2 BOYS MERGE 2021 D2 BOYS FINISH

1	Oyster River	61	1	Coe-Brown	43
2	Hanover	89	2	Windham	84
3	Coe-Brown	96	3	Hanover	99
4	Windham	102	4	Oyster River	121
5	Bow	136	5	Sanborn	153
6	Souhegan	151	6	Bow	158
7	Sanborn	164	7	Lebanon	205
8	Con-Val	291	8	Souhegan	210
9	Hollis/Brookline	299	9	Con-Val	260
10	Pembroke	307	10	Hollis/Brookline	296
11	Goffstown	333	11	Kearsarge	334
12	Kennett	341	12	Pembroke	375
13	St. Thomas	352	13	Goffstown	399
14	Milford	365	14	John Stark	418
15	Merrimack Valley	369	15	Kennett	423

2021 MI D3 GIRLS MERGE 2021 D3 GIRLS FINISH

1	Hopkinton	19	1	Hopkinton	40
2	Conant	114	2	Monadnock	101
3	Portsmouth Christian	119	3	Conant	127
4	Newmarket	131	4	Campbell	157
5	Lebanon	133	5	Newmarket	162
6	Mascenic	143	6	Gilford	166
7	Campbell	150	7	Mascenic	169
8	Gilford	156	8	St. Thomas	249
9	Trinity	189	9	Belmont	250

2021 MI D3 BOYS MERGE 2019 D3 BOYS FINISH

1	Conant	75	1	Mascenic	94
2	Mascenic	91	2	Newfound	115
3	Trinity	99	3	Monadnock	135
4	Lebanon	106	4	Fall Mountain	146
5	Hopkinton	119	5	Conant	153
6	Gilford	128	6	Trinity	168
7	Derryfield	180	7	Portsmouth Christian	211
8	Campbell	181	8	Hopkinton	217
9	Epping	190	9	Gilford	257
10	Portsmouth Christian	196	10	St Thomas	263
			11	Mascoma	267
			12	Inter-Lakes	274
			13	Berlin	341
			14	Epping	352