2024 Manchester Merges: Accurate Predictor?

This post is for all of those statisticians out there!!!  Here is our annual Manchester Merges Post.  Special thanks to Millennium Running for posting these!!! One of the main reasons teams participate in Manchester Invitational is to truly see where they rate versus their division and the entire state.  Same course, same day, maybe same race situations can reveal valuable information for teams to build on for the second half of their seasons.  But, is Manchester Invitational (MI) an accurate predictor?  With the freshmen races, some teams opt to have their freshmen, no matter how good, participate, thus weakening their varsity team, which in turn distorts a team’s true status in the state.  Is this the right decision?  Does Manchester Invitational have any affect on the outcome of the State Divisional Championships, and even with a different course, Meet of Champions.

So with all that said, merges provide us with an opportunity to study.  We have provided links to the 2024 merges provided by Millennium Running.  We have also provided comparisons of how the merge fared in 2022 and links to our posts from previous years.  Warning: Long Post!!!


2024 MANCHESTER INVITATIONAL STATE AND DIVISIONAL MERGES

Manch State Merge Girls

Manch State Merge Boys

Manch D1 Merge Girls

Manch D1 Merge Boys

Manch D2 Merge Girls

Manch D2 Merge Boys

Manch D3 Merge Girls

Manch D3 Merge Boys


HOW THE MERGE FARED IN 2022 WITH MOCS

2023 MI GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2023 MOC FINISH

RankSchoolScoreRankSchoolScore
1Oyster River631Oyster River61
2Hanover792Hanover81
3Pinkerton1113Pinkerton82
4Bedford1744Bedford140
5Dover2025Dover177
6Winnacunnet2896Exeter222
7Exeter3027Concord231
8Concord3168Nashua North233
9Mascenic3209Souhegan237
10Souhegan35810Hopkinton249
11Plymouth36711Mascenic280
12Keene37712Plymouth297

2023 MI BOYS MERGE                                                             2023MOC FINISH

RankSchoolScoreRankSchoolScore
1Nashua South1191Nashua South78
2Hanover1432Hanover94
3Salem1993Coe-Brown132
4Pinkerton2064Pinkerton146
5Bedford2155Souhegan170
6Souhegan2166Bedford171
7Coe-Brown2657Bishop Guertin202
8Bishop Guertin2818Salem237
9Londonderry3289Oyster River240
10Oyster River33010Milford291
11Exeter38911Londonderry294
12Milford41112Keene295

2023 MI D1 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2023 D1 GIRLS FINISH

1Pinkerton541Pinkerton42
2Bedford832Bedford127
3Dover1063Dover127
4Winnacunnet1314Exeter129
5Exeter1405Concord143
6Concord1516Nashua North168
7Bishop Guertin1857Bishop Guertin190
8Keene1878Winnacunnet206
9Portsmouth2239Keene210
10Salem27410Windham244
11Merrimack29211Portsmouth244
12Alvirne30212Salem342

2023 MI D1 BOYS MERGE                                                                  2023 D1 BOYS FINISH

1Nashua South541Nashua South51
2Salem912Pinkerton101
3Pinkerton1023Salem114
4Bedford1054Bedford134
5Bishop Guertin1445Londonderry146
6Londonderry1676Bishop Guertin154
7Exeter1957Keene170
8Portsmouth2228Exeter183
9Alvirne2409Windham244
10Concord26010Alvirne280
11Winnacunnet27311Portsmouth311
12Windham28712Winnacunnet335

2023 D2 GIRLS MERGE                                                                        2023 D2 GIRLS FINISH

1Oyster River331Oyster River29
2Hanover352Hanover33
3Souhegan1303Plymouth138
4Plymouth1314Souhegan139
5Windham1685Lebanon178
6Coe-Brown2016Bow212
7Merrimack Valley2207John stark219
8Hollis/Brookline2318Sanborn220
9Bow2329Coe-Brown229

2023 MI D2 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2023 D2 BOYS FINISH

1Hanover571Hanover40
2Souhegan742Coe-Brown62
3Coe-Brown843Souhegan97
4Oyster River1114Oyster River114
5Milford1355Bow192
6Bow1926Milford209
7Merrimack Valley2387Merrimack Valley245
8Goffstown2488Hollis/Brookline265
9Hollis/Brookline2569Plymouth268
10Kennett26710Goffstown286
11Plymouth30411Kennett293
12Kingswood30812John Stark296

2023 MI D3 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2023 D3 GIRLS FINISH

1Mascenic511Mascenic78
2Hopkinton752Hopkinton91
3Gilford813Newmarket115
4Fall Mountain1244Gilford117
5Conant1325Fall Mountain128
6Lebanon1336Newfound129
7Trinity1437Moultonborough191
8Keasarge1588Trinity205

2023 MI D3 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2023 D3 BOYS FINISH

1Fall Mountain1011Hopkinton127
2Monadnock1032Fall Mountain148
3St. Thomas1123Mascoma Valley150
4Portsmouth Christian1184Portsmouth Christian150
5Hopkinton1205Gilford162
6Gilford1436St. Thomas174
7Lebanon1597Monadnock214
8Mascenic1638Profile233

2023 Comparisons

2022 Comparisons

2021 Comparisons

2018 Comparisons

2017 Comparisons

2016 Comparisons

2015 Comparisons

2014 Comparisons

2013 Comparisons

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