2023 Manchester Merges: Accurate Predictor?

This post is for all of those statisticians out there!!!  Here is our annual Manchester Merges Post.  One of the main reasons teams participate in Manchester Invitational is to truly see where they rate versus their division and the entire state.  Same course, same day, maybe same race situations can reveal valuable information for teams to build on for the second half of their seasons.  But, is Manchester Invitational (MI) an accurate predictor?  With the freshmen races, some teams opt to have their freshmen, no matter how good, participate, thus weakening their varsity team, which in turn distorts a team’s true status in the state.  Is this the right decision?  Does Manchester Invitational have any affect on the outcome of the State Divisional Championships, and even with a different course, Meet of Champions.

So with all that said, merges provide us with an opportunity to study.  We have provided links to the 2023 merges provided by Millennium Running.  We have also provided comparisons of how the merge fared in 2022 and links to our posts from previous years.  Warning: Long Post!!!


2023 MANCHESTER INVITATIONAL STATE AND DIVISIONAL MERGES

Manch State Merge Girls

Manch State Merge Boys

Manch D1 Merge Girls

Manch D1 Merge Boys

Manch D2 Merge Girls

Manch D2 Merge Boys

Manch D3 Merge Girls

Manch D3 Merge Boys


HOW THE MERGE FARED IN 2022 WITH MOCS

2022 MI GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2022 MOC FINISH

RankSchoolScoreRankSchoolScore
1Bedford1201Hanover86
2Keene1672Bedford128
3Oyster River1833Pinkerton145
4Dover2014Winnacunnet151
5Hopkinton2025Oyster River169
6Hanover2216Dover186
7Pinkerton2547Keene223
8Mascenic2668Souhegan245
9Bow2679Mascenic252
10Concord26810Conant258
11Souhegan28411Plymouth271
12Conant30612Monadnock271

2022 MI BOYS MERGE                                                             2022 MOC FINISH

RankSchoolScoreRankSchoolScore
1Coe-Brown721Coe-Brown70
2Souhegan1502Souhegan97
3Nashua South2013Pinkerton128
4Pinkerton2144Lebanon168
5Oyster River2355Nashua South184
6Concord2366Windham189
7Exeter2827Hanover195
8Bishop Guertin2848Concord218
9Windham3299Bishop Guertin249
10Trinity33010Winnacunnet259
11Winnacunnet36511Trinity272
12Portsmouth40212Milford281

2022 MI D1 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2022 D1 GIRLS FINISH

1Bedford611Pinkerton66
2Keene872Bedford70
3Dover1003Winnacunnet115
4Pinkerton1244Keene131
5Concord1405Dover151
6Winnacunnet1856Concord177
7Bishop Guertin1857Bishop Guertin177
8Alvirne2258Alvirne218
9Portsmouth2299Exeter248
10Exeter25610Nashua North261
11Nashua South28411Portsmouth272
12Merrimack31312Windham309

2022 MI D1 BOYS MERGE                                                                  2022 D1 BOYS FINISH

1Nashua South1031Pinkerton80
2Pinkerton1072Windham142
3Concord1193Nashua South154
4Exeter1444Bishop Guertin164
5Bishop Guertin1455Exeter165
6Windham1696Concord167
7Winnacunnet1847Winnacunnet171
8Portsmouth2048Londonderry193
9Salem2129Keene209
10Merrimack22910Salem220
11Bedford24611Portsmouth253
12Alvirne27312Bedford274

2022 D2 GIRLS MERGE                                                                        2022 D2 GIRLS FINISH

1Oyster River501Hanover57
2Hanover582Oyster River80
3Bow713Bow101
4Souhegan744Souhegan115
5Coe-Brown1125Plymouth124
6Sanborn1686Kennett142
7Merrimack Valley1977Coe-Brown147
8Hollis/Brookline2038Merrimack Valley197
9John Stark2389John Stark250

2021 MI D2 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2021 D2 BOYS FINISH

1Coe-Brown321Coe-Brown28
2Souhegan592Souhegan72
3Oyster River923Lebanon121
4Goffstown1784Hanover125
5Hanover1815Oyster River176
6Milford1816Milford181
7Lebanon1887Bow206
8Bow2408Goffstown235
9St. Thomas2419John Stark296
10Merrimack Valley25710Hollis/Brookline303
11Pembroke30711Merrimack Valley307
12Pelham30912Plymouth324

2022 MI D3 GIRLS MERGE                                                                  2022 D3 GIRLS FINISH

1Hopkinton471Hopkinton66
2Mascenic602Mascenic82
3Monadnock723Conant85
4Conant764Monadnock98
5Gilford1505Kearsarge132
6Newmarket1626Fall Mountain163
7Portsmouth Christian1767Gilford175
8Campbell1938Newfound181

2022 MI D3 BOYS MERGE                                                                   2022 D3 BOYS FINISH

1Trinity441Trinity61
2Mascenic632Gilford149
3Gilford1093St. Thomas158
4Conant1174Fall Mountain164
5Portsmouth Christian1195Mascenic192
6Hopkinton1346Portsmouth Christian219
7Derryfield1837Hopkinton253
8Newmarket1868Kearsarge254

2022 Comparisons

2021 Comparisons

2018 Comparisons

2017 Comparisons

2016 Comparisons

2015 Comparisons

2014 Comparisons

2013 Comparisons

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